The Chinese Economic recovery from the downfall due to the coronavirus showed signs of growing in September, making it the only major economy in the world engine to grow. This can be a result of China’s effective and satrice measures to curtail and control the Coronavirus pandemic.
The Gross Domestic Product of China expanded by 4.9% from last year. The industrial production and retail sales gained a formal momentum as September started, giving the indication that the market is on recovery.
The above diagram shows China’s effective and early containment of the CoronaVirus which meant that economic growth would happen faster than its competitors. This situation seems very unlikely in the current state of the global economy, as the world has still not recovered from its worst slump after the Great Depression – a revival further complicated by the resurgence of Coronavirus in the USA and Europe.
There was a 3.3% rise in retail sales in September in China compared to a year earlier. The Industrial production also grew by 6.9% and the investment growth caused an acceleration to 0.8% in the nine months leading to the end of quarter. Due to the heavy import growth tax, the third quarter starter has bent the GDP number, even though it is not regarded as a good sign for demand.
In the year to date, the overall output increased by 0.7% implying that China – the world’s second largest economy – has officially recovered all its formal grounds which it had lost in the previous months.
Underpinning the reformation has been the containment of the coronavirus which has caused factories to efficiently reopen and take control on a worldwide rush for medical equipment and work from home technology. That export strength was overtaken by a recent increase of demand for imports, negatively affecting the contribution of net trade to the overall output growth.
“That should not be viewed negatively,” said Liu Peiqian, China economist at Natwest Markets Plc in Singapore, because the strong import growth suggests that recovery in underlying economic growth is accelerating.
The strengthening picture of China has been painted with restrained Government borrowing and ease of central banks compared to other Chinese competitors. Instead, the Government has diverted its target support for business and central bank in order to ensure a minimum liquidity flow.
Central bank Governor Yi Gang said Sunday that China has “proactive fiscal policy” and “an accommodative monetary policy to support the economy.”
“Right now, China has basically got Covid-19 under control,” Yi said in a webinar organized by the Group of 30. “In general, the Chinese economy remains resilient with great potential. Continued recovery is anticipated which will benefit the global economy.”
However, recovery comes with its backlash.
Despite the virus being overcome, shoppers have spent approximately 7% less in the first nine months of the year, compared to the same period last year. Services sectors including tourism, education and travel are continuing to lag.
“The economy is not entirely back in its strongest shape,” Helen Qiao, chief Greater China economist at Bank of America, told Bloomberg Television. “The services sector is not doing that well.”
Overall, the situation is unclear. Importantly, the much major chunk of future activity depends on the US November Presidential Elections. Any ups or downs may result in a significant shock for global economics.